Corona pandemic: Incidence rises to 442.1

Status: 03.12.2021 6:47 a.m.

The RKI reports 74,352 new cases and a seven-day incidence of 442.2 – after a slight decrease in the past few days, this is an increase for the first time. The RKI is currently finding it difficult to interpret the development.

After a brief interruption, the nationwide seven-day incidence of new corona infections rose again. According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), the value rose to 442.1. As the RKI further announced, citing data from the health authorities, 74,352 new infections were recorded within 24 hours.

Germany has thus exceeded the number of six million registered infections – the health authorities have reported 6,051,560 cases since the pandemic began. The institute put the number of people recovered from illness caused by the coronavirus in Germany at around 5,023,200 – another new milestone. The total number of corona deaths in Germany rose by 390 to 102,568.

Hospitalization incidence nationwide at 5.47

The seven-day incidence indicates the number of new infections per 100,000 inhabitants within a week. The value has risen rapidly since the beginning of November. As a result, new highs were recorded every day. On Tuesday, the RKI reported a decrease in the incidence for the first time in more than three weeks. By yesterday it had dropped from 452.4 to 439.2.

On November 18, the federal and state governments set the so-called hospitalization incidence as the decisive yardstick for tightening the corona measures. This value indicates how many people per 100,000 inhabitants are in hospital within seven days because of a corona infection. From a value of three, the 2G rule applies across the board for events in a federal state – that is, only those vaccinated against the coronavirus and those recovered from Covid-19 are allowed. According to the RKI, the nationwide hospitalization incidence on Wednesday was 5.47.

Weakening dynamics or underreporting?

When evaluating the infection rate, it should be borne in mind that experts are currently assuming a noticeable underreporting. Health authorities and clinics can no longer keep up with reporting cases, at least in individual regions.

The RKI is also finding it difficult to assess the situation. The slowed rise in the seven-day incidence could “on the one hand be a first indication of a slightly weakening dynamic in the transmission process due to the significantly intensified measures to reduce contact”, according to the RKI weekly report from yesterday evening. However, the development could be “regionally due to the increasingly overloaded capacities in the public health service and the exhausted laboratory capacities”.

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