Between the alliance with Morena and “Va por México”: the PRI has become the faithful of the balance in the times of Q4

(Photo art: Infobae Mexico)

For five months, the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) is in the midst of an intense political turbulence. And it is that after the election results of June 6 in which the president’s party Andrés Manuel López Obrador, the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) lost the absolute majority in the Chamber of Deputies, the president opened the possibility of negotiate reforms with the tricolor that his government has in the pipeline.

One of them, which has generated great controversy, is the initiative of electrical reform presented by López Obrador on October 1, through which It is intended to “strengthen” the Federal Electoral Commission (CFE) taking away electricity generation permits from private companies; so the Presidential and legislative pressures on the Institutional Revolutionary they have begun to be felt.

Although its national leader and current deputy, Alejandro Moreno “Alito”, has assured that Nobody pressures the PRI it is included vindicated their alliance within “Va por México” made up of National Action and the Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD); There have been voices within the PRI itself, such as the governor of Oaxaca, Alejandro Murat -who is rumored, could relieve Manuel Bartlett at the head of the CFE- that he has asked for an “opportunity” to evaluate the reform.

(Photo: Steve Allen)
(Photo: Steve Allen)

In the midst of this political upheaval, Andrés Manuel López Obrador made an express invitation to the former governor of Sinaloa, Quirino Ordaz Coppel, to be Ambassador of Mexico in Spain. But on October 31, the National Political Council (CNP) of the PRI denied “permission” to accept the presidential invitation.

The argument was that the offer to the Sinaloan seeks to divide the party and the opposition alliance “Va Por México.”

In an interview with Infobae Mexico, the political scientist from the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM) Mario Alberto Huaracha Alarcón, I consider that the situation in which the PRI finds itself is complicated, but admitted that what would suit the tricolor the most – in political terms – would be ally with Morena in Congress to carry out the electricity reform initiative.

When asked if the alliance between the PRI, PAN and PRD would be at risk, as the tricolor party pointed out to deny Quirino Ordaz “permission”, the expert stressed that they are different cases.

Foto: Twitter @Jesus_ZambranoG
Foto: Twitter @Jesus_ZambranoG

From my point of view, one issue is the ‘denial of permission’ and another is the eventual legislative alliance that the PRI conditions in exchange for modifying the items of the expenditure budget. For me they are separate cases that have no link. In the first case, the reading of the PRI leadership is that Quirino is seeing for his own thing individually, not as a match box. Quirino acceded to charges through him through him since the eighties but he was the governor, the position that allowed him to develop his own political capital. This is common in politics (and there are clear examples at different levels of government), it’s not a matter of loyaltiesThis is how partisan politics works. Parties are political enterprises and politicians, political entrepreneurs. Each one seeks to obtain returns. Of course in public discourse, the national leadership questions the “loyalty of the ruler to the PRI”, “He accuses him of betraying the Sinaloan PRI … hence the argument of the refusal (not giving him permission to accept the position) in congruence with the opposition alliance in favor of the country to and counterbalance the ruling party,” he said. .

“(Regarding the legislative alliance) I believe that the PRI leadership had to evaluate the profit-loss ratio, according what would suit you best in terms of political influence in Congress in pursuit of your agenda, your public image and obvious his electoral gains heading for next year’s electionsor. So in pragmatic terms, what is best for the PRI is to join forces to improve its electoral numbers in the short and medium term. But the PRI had only two outputs in the immediate: an era directly accept and break his alliance with opponents, the other was to seize the opportunity (AMLO’s call to join forces) to put a price on their (legislative) votes and play a role in public opinion. It was what he did: condition the legislative support in favor of the electricity reform by modifications in the expenditure budget. Thus, before public opinion, it raises its “oppositional role” in favor of the most pressing issues in the country without breaking its opposition agreement with the PAN and PRD. This gives you time to negotiate your electoral and legislative winnings. Remember that parties are political enterprises, whose raison d’être is access to political power ”, he stressed.

“The issue of the budget is crucial to make politics at all levels. Being a politician is a paid job, not altruistic, the operation of a party is like a commercial company, not a philanthropic organization. To govern you also need money, legislative policy the same. That money is public money. Then, What is the PRI asking for in exchange for going with Morena in the electricity reform? Modifying budget items from which their municipal governments benefit. This is, that more money reaches their governments for their policies and their policies, thereby guaranteeing re-elections and the expansion of the governed municipalities, more electoral districts, more legislators ”, he explained.

The academic from the Faculty of Political and Social Sciences of UNAM pointed out that the future of the opposition alliance is complicated in the medium future, because it depends on electoral results.

(Photo: Special)
(Photo: Special)

“When I think of a opposition alliance With those three parties (two parties that have gone from first to second or third national force -PRI and PAN- and another one that has been ranking as third or fourth (to fifth) political force -PRD- for decades) I imagine how complicated it will be to negotiate candidacies, positions and positions. Legislatively I think it is easier for them to agree than in the organization of the elections. The eventual agreements of this alliance with a view to the elections are tentative, because Circumstances change as the elections approach and this puts at risk the expectations and interests of electoral gain that these parties have. That is why I believe that the PRI has better expectations of electoral gain and influence if it gives its votes to Morena, “he said.

The also professor at the National Pedagogical University (UPN) pointed out that in the alliance “Va por México”, PAN is the strongest party (in numerical terms in Congress), however, he noted, the reality is that the opposition is weakened.

“There is also a weakness of the opposition because there is a lot of defectors, they go to other parties that offer them more profit (positions, public visibility). It is a political market, where for most it is a matter of having a job or improving salary or having better opportunities to build a career, power, influence … (chapulineo, as it is popularly known), the opposition is weak. But also because it is difficult to be opposition, play in the opposing role. More so if the parties that are currently opposition have already had experiences of government. Added to this is the monopoly of the ideological agenda by the President (which seems to always be on the campaign trail) and the polarization it generates, the discrediting of politics and politicians. There are many factors, “he said.

He recalled the audio of Marko Cortés, national president of the PAN that was leaked in recent days and where he recognized that in the next elections in 2022, National Action will only win the governorship of Aguascalientes.

Marko Cortés, national president of the PAN.  (Photo: Karina Hernández / Infobae / File)
Marko Cortés, national president of the PAN. (Photo: Karina Hernández / Infobae / File)

A few days ago this one came out audio about what Marko Cortés says’ we only have a chance to win Aguascalientes’ and some (members) of his party were scandalized accusing the PAN national leader of defeatism, of a noxious defeatist attitude. I do not believe that the statement of Cortés is that, it is a reflection of the way electoral politics works and the rationality of politicians. The parties are political enterprises and the politicians their businessmen. From the business mindset, you rationalize your investments, the turns you engage in, the products or services you sell, you analyze where your capital generates better returns and where you have the best possibilities to develop your commercial activity.… Then the parties They are the same: weigh their opportunities and risks very clearly, very objectively and very pragmatically (…) in electoral matters there are rational decisions, what I have seen is that where they have the possibility of winning: all the meat goes to the grill, where they do not, nor do they move because they are wasted resources ”, he pointed out.

“So rounding up a bit, What will the PRI decide? To me I would be surprised if you decide that it does not go (to the legislative alliance with the reform) because in terms of the costs that it could have, it would reduce costs if it does go and increase costs if it does not go, “he said.

“AND who knows what they will have up there up their sleeve… As a Mexican, I wish it were not to counterbalance the legislative bench and the president’s proposals Lopez Obrador (….) because He governs in a charismatic, demagogic way, he gives a line, as if we were in the (years) 70″ Concluded the specialist.


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