Alberto Fernández was traveling by helicopter to the suburbs to have lunch with Mayor Mario Ishii when he learned that Eduardo “Wado” de Pedro had submitted his resignation. The Interior Minister did not anticipate the political thrust, and the President at that moment assumed that a fierce offensive by Cristina Fernández de Kirchner was underway.“You have to defend yourself. There is no other way ”, Ishii advised while serving some chocolate sausages, recalling the years of confrontation with La Cámpora who tried – unsuccessfully – to colonize their political territory from José C. Paz.
Ishii’s advice became a political mandate for Alberto Fernández. The Vice President and the President don’t get along, and the two exhibited that infinite personal distance when they barely looked at each other at the end of the campaign closing ceremony in Merlo, which was manual and with the word Yes in many colors.
The head of state concluded his barricade speech and went to Cristina Fernández de Kirchner to greet her, as he had already done with Victoria Tolosa Paz, Axel Kicillof and Sergio Massa. The Vice President replied with a grimace, a mutation of a frozen smile. It was the anatomy of an instant: a second that allowed us to suppose that there will be serious political events after the legislative elections.
Alberto Fernández already has the political support of the General Confederation of Labor (CGT) and of the social movements that distrust the CFK, La Cámpora, Máximo Kirchner and the Instituto Patria. When the defeat in the PASO triggered Cristina’s offensive, the President accepted the advice of a wing of his government that suggested an orderly withdrawal.
That recommendation canceled the mobilization of support for Alberto Fernández that the social movements and certain mayors of the suburbs were organizing, two key protagonists of the Frente de Todos who resist the will to power of the Vice President and Deputy Kirchner.
Unsupported in the streets and cautious, the head of state consented to CFK’s proposals, He appointed Santiago Cafiero to the Foreign Ministry and said goodbye to Juan Pablo Biondi, the Media and Press secretary who always demonstrated his differences with Fernández de Kirchner.
Alberto Fernández has already assumed that tomorrow there will be a defeat for the ruling party in the main districts of the country, and he has no intention of repeating the political crisis he faced after the fall in the PASO. The President does not think of a new change in the Cabinet, but CFK is already moving his pieces and is betting on avoiding the personal and political cost of an electoral day that will be adverse and unforgettable.
The CGT called a mobilization to commemorate the Day of MilitancyOn November 17, 1972, he found Juan Domingo Perón at the mercy of the Army, which did not allow him to leave Ezeiza to greet the people who had waited for him for almost 18 years.
The President will maintain the mobilization of next Wednesday, and if the internal power worsens, It is not ruled out in Balcarce 50 that social movements join to demonstrate to CFK that the correlation of forces has already begun to change.
Together with the support in the streets of the CGT and the active predisposition of the social movements, Alberto Fernández accounts for the Peronist governors who would remain loyal to the Casa Rosada. It was no coincidence that Juan Manzur was not in Merlo: The Chief of Staff, accompanied by Minister Juan Zabaleta, that Thursday had started a raid through San Juan, Catamarca, La Rioja, Santiago del Estero, Salta and Tucumán to accumulate critical mass in favor of the Head of State.
Manzur and Zabaleta are loyal to the President. And they hated when CFK took the lion’s share, after the resounding defeat in the PASO.
The CGT, the social movements, at least 12 governors, a handful of mayors from the suburbs, and certain powerful businessmen who have already had lunch at the Casa Rosada, they will endorse the future political strategy of Alberto Fernández that would be announced in a few days.
The head of state supports Martín Guzmán and Matías Kulfas, designs a call for the opposition to converge on a common agenda linked to the economy and the IMF, and does not intend to give in to the possible political proposals of CFK.
That is your decision.
And it has Sergio Massa to articulate from the Chamber of Deputies a roadmap that allows joining Together for Change, that it will only accept if there is internal consensus and transparent rules of the game. Massa proposed an agenda of 10 structural points during an exhibition in the United States, and on that guide, work would be done to initiate the first consensuses.
Alberto Fernández does not want to repeat the post STEP experience and accumulates forces to contain a possible onslaught of CFK. In Government they affirm that, despite this political forecast, the end is open.