La Niña phenomenon with 90% probability of developing between late 2021 and early 2022

/ Colprensa

The Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies (Ideam) announced that there is a probability greater than 87% of developing the La Niña phenomenon during the last quarter of 2021 and early 2022 in Colombia, which would represent an increase in rainfall in the national territory.

According to Ideam, this forecast is based on the analysis of the entity and the international centers for climate prediction, which would show an increase in rainfall in much of the country, which would occur with greater intensity between December of this year until February. of 2022.

“The National Disaster Risk Management System (Sngrd), mayors, governors, reinforce prevention and contingency plans against the probability of the presence of floods, avalanches, sudden floods and landslides, especially in those neighborhoods located on slopes in the departments of the Andean and Pacific regions, the foothills of the Orinoquía, as well as areas rivers, given the possibility of sudden increases in water levels”, Indicated the entity in relation to the increase in rainfall during November.

In this sense, Ideam reported that in the Andean and Caribbean region an increase in rainfall between 20% and 70% is estimated in most of the Caribbean and Andean regions between November 2021 and January 2022, especially in the departments from Cesar, south of Bolívar and Sucre; as well as in the center-west of the eastern plains, a region in which increases of more than 50% are expected.

In turn, he warned that there has been an increase in the upper part of the two main tributaries of the country, the Magdalena and Cauca rivers, presenting some alerts for this reason, in turn he called for special attention to the rivers of mountain, in order to prevent flash floods and torrential floods, which can cause disasters such as those presented in Nariño.

“Therefore it is necessary to recommend to the National Disaster Risk Management System (Sngrd), keep contingency plans active in light of the probability of landslides occurring in unstable and vulnerable areas that have presented or present current dynamics due to unstable slope conditions”Said the Ideam.

In the same way, he pointed out that the forecasts of the Colorado State University and the National Hurricane Center show that the hurricane season is above normal in the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea, having a higher incidence between October and November near the country.

On the other hand, he recommended paying special attention to the east of the Andean region, and in some sectors of the north-central and north-eastern part of the Caribbean region, in the face of the presence of fires or burns that could trigger fires on the vegetation that in these places It has presented favorable conditions for its expansion.

recommendations

Do not dump garbage or debris in streams, rivers and streets of urban centers.

Be attentive in the coming days to the communications and information issued by Ideam and the other local and municipal emergency authorities.

Heed the indications and recommendations of the control entities, emergency and response agencies.

Have and share with relatives and neighbors the telephone numbers of the municipal response agencies.

Monitor the status of the local aqueducts and carry out their preventive maintenance.

Have on hand a briefcase with a copy of the identity documents of each of the members of the family nucleus, spare clothing, canned food, water, whistle, a radio with batteries and a flashlight.

Protect yourself from the rain with an umbrella or a raincoat and go outside to avoid colds.

Know and review emergency plans, evacuation routes and meeting points.

Download the ‘I Report’ and ‘My Forecast’ applications on your cell phone, and be an active part of the risk management processes.

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Reference-www.infobae.com

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